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Open Roads Forum  >  Around the Campfire  >  General Topics

 > 2019–20 CORONAVIRUS PANDEMIC POSTINGS

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philh

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Posted: 03/25/20 07:34pm Link  |  Quote  |  Print  |  Notify Moderator

Moderator wrote:

Yep, tables are difficult but thanks. Where did you get that info?

Bottom right corner puts the data in graph format
Link

jetboater454

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Posted: 03/25/20 08:01pm Link  |  Quote  |  Print  |  Notify Moderator

No idea how bad it will actually get,but we got paperwork today from work stating us in food transportation are exempt from all these curfews the towns are starting.


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magnusfide

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Posted: 03/25/20 10:24pm Link  |  Quote  |  Print  |  Notify Moderator

bid_time wrote:

The CDC, John Hopkins, Oxford, and even New York City and a lot of others are taking HCQ and Azithromycin seriously. Lots of medical trials have begun already. There are several first hand patients that are telling of their own success. No one is saying it's the silver bullet but their is no room to not take is seriously.
CDC
John Hopkins
Oxford and New York City

Additionally, some New York patients are receiving vitamin C intravenously to improve their ability to recover. Link

As more people are tested, more are identified. Each surge reflects the availability of the tests and their results coming back. There are also people who have not been tested, are asymptomatic, but are carriers. That's why it's a good idea to self isolate. The person standing next to you may not be coughing or sneezing but they can still be carriers.


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joeshmoe

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Posted: 03/25/20 11:18pm Link  |  Quote  |  Print  |  Notify Moderator

Imperial College report about where this "could" go if strict controls aren't kept in place.

I think this is the type of technical data people need to be studying rather listening to the media heads drone on and point fingers. Listen to the experts.

Imperial College Report


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Posted: 03/25/20 11:30pm Link  |  Quote  |  Print  |  Notify Moderator

hydroxychloroquine - https://www.foxnews.com/media/dr-jeff-co........yer-kansas-coronavirus-anti-malaria-drug


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bid_time

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Posted: 03/26/20 06:07am Link  |  Quote  |  Print  |  Notify Moderator

Freep wrote:

I have noticed that a lot of people don't understand exponential growth. At the time of this writing new cases double every three days in the US. Starting from today's number of new cases this is how it stands if we don't slow the spread and the rate remains unchanged

Date, Number of New cases
3/25/2020 11,074
3/28/2020 22,148
3/31/2020 44,296
4/03/2020 88,592
4/06/2020 177,184
4/09/2020 354,368
4/12/2020 708,736
4/15/2020 1,417,472
4/18/2020 2,834,944
4/21/2020 5,669,888
4/24/2020 11,339,776
4/27/2020 22,679,552
4/30/2020 45,359,104
5/03/2020 90,718,208
5/06/2020 181,436,416
5/09/2020 362,872,832


Edit: It's hard creating tables in this format.
So the moral of the story is on May 9 we have herd immunity and we can move on.





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Posted: 03/26/20 06:44am Link  |  Quote  |  Print  |  Notify Moderator

freep wrote:

this is how it stands if we don't slow the spread and the rate remains unchanged


And, with the accelerated research/testing it's so important we are optimistic the results will slow the spread/rate and the numbers don't continue as the chart shows.

And, following the current health guidelines on how to behave in public/private remain so important for everyone.

Bedlam

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Posted: 03/26/20 06:50am Link  |  Quote  |  Print  |  Notify Moderator

I am more concerned if the virus mutates creating multiple strains.It will be much harder to build a cure or immunity against a changing target.


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dturm

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Posted: 03/26/20 07:38am Link  |  Quote  |  Print  |  Notify Moderator

Bedlam wrote:

I am more concerned if the virus mutates creating multiple strains.It will be much harder to build a cure or immunity against a changing target.


A recent report in Washington Post indicated that this virus is not mutating rapidly. I hope that is true.


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joeshmoe

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Posted: 03/26/20 11:25am Link  |  Quote  |  Print  |  Notify Moderator

Bedlam wrote:

I am more concerned if the virus mutates creating multiple strains.It will be much harder to build a cure or immunity against a changing target.
the more it mutates, the less virulent it becomes as the S strain of this virus has shown.

* This post was edited 03/26/20 11:34am by joeshmoe *

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